Scroll through any slot game at a Canadian online casino, and you’ll find three letters—RTP—tucked into the game info panel. It might say 96.2%, 94%, or 88.7%. And for many players, those numbers carry a simple meaning: higher is better.
But here’s the truth: RTP (Return to Player) doesn’t work the way most players think it does. It’s not a promise, a guarantee, or even a useful prediction of your short-term results. It’s a statistical abstraction. And if you’re playing with money in 2025, you deserve to know what it really means.
Let’s break it down.
RTP is the theoretical percentage of all money wagered on a game that is expected to be returned to players over time. A 96% RTP means that—on average—for every $100 wagered, the game will pay out $96 in winnings and retain $4 as house edge.
But that’s a long-term average calculated over millions or billions of spins, not over your next 10 minutes of play. If you deposit $100 and play a 96% RTP slot, your outcome might be $300, or $5, or zero. The math doesn’t apply in such short intervals.
Even worse, RTP is often confused with win rate. A 96% RTP does not mean you’ll win 96% of the time. It doesn’t even mean you’ll win anything at all. The number reflects average payouts, not frequency, size, or volatility of wins.
Here’s another common misunderstanding: players assume that RTP is fixed. But many games have multiple RTP settings, and the casino chooses which one to activate. That means the same game could have 96% RTP at one casino and 88% at another. And unless the platform discloses it, you may never know which version you're playing.
In Canada’s regulated market (like Ontario), casinos are required to display the RTP version and ensure games meet minimum fairness standards. But offshore casinos may not disclose this—or may use older, lower-paying game versions.
RTP also doesn’t factor in jackpots, bonus buy options, or player behavior. If you skip features, buy bonuses, or change bet sizes often, your real-world RTP could diverge significantly from the “theoretical” number.
And yet, despite all of this, RTP still matters—just not in the way most players think.